Game Result Predictions
Thursday, February 14

The R1 Prediction calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Icardo Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Chicago State
(2-28, Road 0-15)
47 51 +31.0 1% 133 54 +24.0 0%
Cal State Bakersfield
(12-17, Home 6-4)
80 82 -31.0 99% Actual:
127 (-6)
78 -24.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Matadome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Cal Poly
(5-21, Road 1-12)
52 51 +16.0 10% 118 49 +18.5 0%
Cal State Northridge
(16-15, Home 10-4)
68 67 -16.0 90% Actual:
120 (2)
68 -18.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Littlejohn Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida State
(24-9, Road 8-3)
68 65 +1.0 46% 131 65 -1.0 62%
Clemson
(20-13, Home 12-5)
73 66 -1.0 54% Actual:
141 (10)
64 +1.0 38%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Calihan Hall Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UIC
(3-26, Road 1-13)
45 51 +9.0 22% 111 50 +10.0 3%
Detroit
(3-25, Home 1-11)
62 60 -9.0 78% Actual:
107 (-4)
60 -10.0 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Cameron Indoor Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia Tech
(22-12, Road 4-6)
64 66 -3.0 61% 129 62 +3.0 23%
Duke
(15-15, Home 9-4)
57 63 +3.0 39% Actual:
121 (-8)
65 -3.0 77%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McBrayer Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Murray State
(11-17, Road 3-11)
76 70 -10.0 80% 130 73 -16.0 100%
Eastern Kentucky
(0-27, Home 0-11)
63 60 +10.0 20% Actual:
139 (9)
57 +16.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Timmons Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Chattanooga
(13-17, Road 3-8)
54 59 +5.0 33% 123 57 +7.5 6%
Furman
(18-13, Home 11-2)
61 64 -5.0 67% Actual:
115 (-8)
64 -7.5 94%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
EagleBank Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
La Salle
(6-25, Road 1-16)
42 54 +18.0 8% 126 56 +13.5 1%
George Mason
(16-14, Home 10-5)
59 72 -18.0 92% Actual:
101 (-25)
69 -13.5 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McCarthey Athletic Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
San Diego
(8-21, Road 2-11)
44 50 +30.0 1% 130 45 +39.5 0%
Gonzaga
(29-5, Home 14-1)
71 80 -30.0 99% Actual:
115 (-15)
84 -39.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
GCU Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UMKC
(14-15, Road 7-8)
65 72 -11.0 82% 133 70 -8.0 94%
Grand Canyon
(7-20, Home 6-7)
56 61 +11.0 18% Actual:
121 (-12)
62 +8.0 6%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Carver-Hawkeye Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Illinois
(10-20, Road 2-9)
66 65 +20.0 6% 150 54 +40.5 0%
Iowa
(29-7, Home 16-0)
88 85 -20.0 94% Actual:
154 (4)
95 -40.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Walter Pyramid Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UC Irvine
(19-11, Road 6-6)
48 63 -3.0 61% 123 63 -4.0 80%
Long Beach State
(9-22, Home 5-11)
46 60 +3.0 39% Actual:
94 (-29)
59 +4.0 20%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
XFINITY Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Nebraska
(14-16, Road 5-9)
63 65 +15.0 11% 145 60 +24.0 0%
Maryland
(29-5, Home 15-2)
89 80 -15.0 89% Actual:
152 (7)
84 -24.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hawkins Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UNCG
(7-19, Road 1-13)
73 57 +10.0 20% 124 46 +31.5 0%
Mercer
(25-8, Home 11-3)
85 67 -10.0 80% Actual:
158 (34)
77 -31.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Crisler Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Indiana
(21-13, Road 6-7)
58 64 +8.0 24% 136 63 +8.5 5%
Michigan
(22-12, Home 13-1)
67 72 -8.0 76% Actual:
125 (-11)
72 -8.5 95%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Murphy Athletic Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Western Kentucky
(18-15, Road 8-6)
69 61 +10.0 20% 132 65 +2.0 33%
Middle Tennessee
(23-11, Home 11-3)
81 71 -10.0 80% Actual:
150 (18)
67 -2.0 67%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Humphrey Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Missouri
(24-11, Road 7-6)
75 56 +23.0 4% 135 58 +17.5 0%
Mississippi State
(33-3, Home 15-1)
67 79 -23.0 96% Actual:
142 (7)
75 -17.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Dahlberg Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Weber State
(5-25, Road 3-12)
56 60 +11.0 18% 131 58 +14.0 1%
Montana
(13-16, Home 9-4)
64 71 -11.0 82% Actual:
120 (-11)
72 -14.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Brick Breeden Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Idaho State
(19-11, Road 9-6)
62 62 -3.0 61% 121 61 -2.0 67%
Montana State
(15-15, Home 7-6)
49 59 +3.0 39% Actual:
111 (-10)
59 +2.0 33%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Ellis T. Johnson Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Austin Peay
(13-15, Road 4-10)
84 67 +10.0 20% 144 64 +16.0 0%
Morehead State
(22-11, Home 11-3)
75 77 -10.0 80% Actual:
159 (15)
80 -16.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
UNT Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
FAU
(5-25, Road 1-12)
62 52 +21.0 5% 125 49 +26.0 0%
North Texas
(15-16, Home 10-6)
82 73 -21.0 95% Actual:
144 (19)
75 -26.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Portland State
(24-8, Road 8-5)
74 73 -10.0 80% 136 72 -9.0 96%
Northern Arizona
(13-18, Home 7-6)
59 63 +10.0 20% Actual:
133 (-3)
63 +9.0 4%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bank of Colorado Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Washington
(12-20, Road 6-7)
76 59 +13.0 14% 131 60 +9.5 3%
Northern Colorado
(21-11, Home 10-3)
72 72 -13.0 86% Actual:
148 (17)
69 -9.5 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Welsh-Ryan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Penn State
(12-18, Road 3-8)
63 59 +12.0 16% 130 55 +19.0 0%
Northwestern
(21-15, Home 12-5)
78 71 -12.0 84% Actual:
141 (11)
74 -19.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Athletics Center O'rena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
IUPUI
(19-12, Road 9-7)
76 72 -15.0 89% 129 73 -19.0 100%
Oakland
(4-24, Home 3-10)
70 57 +15.0 11% Actual:
146 (17)
54 +19.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Pavilion at Ole Miss Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Vanderbilt
(7-23, Road 2-10)
60 63 +2.0 42% 128 62 +4.0 20%
Ole Miss
(9-22, Home 8-10)
65 65 -2.0 58% Actual:
125 (-3)
66 -4.0 80%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Alex G. Spanos Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
San Francisco
(7-24, Road 2-11)
48 65 +13.0 14% 143 61 +19.0 0%
Pacific
(19-13, Home 9-4)
74 78 -13.0 86% Actual:
122 (-21)
80 -19.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Petersen Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
North Carolina
(18-15, Road 4-7)
78 74 -10.0 80% 138 74 -10.5 98%
Pittsburgh
(11-20, Home 6-10)
91 64 +10.0 20% Actual:
169 (31)
63 +10.5 2%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Chiles Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
BYU
(26-7, Road 9-5)
70 77 -6.0 70% 148 87 -26.0 100%
Portland
(11-17, Home 6-7)
69 71 +6.0 30% Actual:
139 (-9)
61 +26.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mackey Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Minnesota
(21-11, Road 6-6)
65 62 -1.0 54% 123 61 -1.0 60%
Purdue
(19-15, Home 13-4)
45 61 +1.0 46% Actual:
110 (-13)
60 +1.0 40%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Tudor Fieldhouse Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
FIU
(5-23, Road 0-11)
44 45 +29.0 2% 119 36 +45.5 0%
Rice
(28-4, Home 13-0)
76 74 -29.0 98% Actual:
120 (1)
81 -45.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Rutgers Athletic Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Ohio State
(14-15, Road 5-6)
59 51 +13.0 14% 115 52 +10.0 3%
Rutgers
(22-10, Home 13-2)
39 64 -13.0 86% Actual:
98 (-17)
62 -10.0 97%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
McKeon Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Santa Clara
(13-17, Road 7-7)
68 61 +16.0 10% 138 60 +17.0 0%
Saint Mary's College
(21-12, Home 10-5)
81 77 -16.0 90% Actual:
149 (11)
77 -17.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Pete Hanna Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Western Carolina
(2-26, Road 1-13)
43 51 +13.0 14% 115 47 +19.0 0%
Samford
(8-20, Home 5-4)
58 64 -13.0 86% Actual:
101 (-14)
66 -19.0 100%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Redhawk Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UTRGV
(16-15, Road 6-9)
74 65 -7.0 73% 123 68 -15.0 99%
Seattle University
(3-27, Home 1-12)
70 58 +7.0 27% Actual:
144 (21)
53 +15.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Alumni Recreation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Fairfield
(11-20, Road 4-9)
66 55 +3.0 39% 113 55 +0.5 50%
Siena
(12-18, Home 6-9)
40 58 -3.0 61% Actual:
106 (-7)
56 -0.5 50%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Vadalabene Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Eastern Illinois
(8-18, Road 1-13)
62 60 +5.0 33% 125 56 +11.0 2%
SIUE
(12-16, Home 6-4)
78 65 -5.0 67% Actual:
140 (15)
67 -11.0 98%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Moody Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
East Carolina
(16-15, Road 2-9)
64 54 +5.0 33% 113 56 -1.0 62%
SMU
(11-19, Home 8-8)
54 59 -5.0 67% Actual:
118 (5)
55 +1.0 38%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Mitchell Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia Southern
(6-22, Road 3-12)
60 58 +20.0 6% 136 54 +27.5 0%
South Alabama
(23-11, Home 10-3)
73 78 -20.0 94% Actual:
133 (-3)
81 -27.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Colonial Life Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia
(18-12, Road 4-7)
57 65 +7.0 27% 137 60 +16.0 0%
South Carolina
(23-10, Home 11-4)
65 72 -7.0 73% Actual:
122 (-15)
76 -16.0 100%

Final/1OT R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
America First Events Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Sacramento State
(9-19, Road 3-8)
75 70 +3.0 39% 143 70 +1.5 34%
Southern Utah
(8-23, Home 6-8)
69 73 -3.0 61% Actual:
144 (1)
71 -1.5 66%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Thompson-Boling Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Auburn
(21-10, Road 9-3)
62 71 +3.0 39% 145 70 +3.0 23%
Tennessee
(19-13, Home 10-7)
73 74 -3.0 61% Actual:
135 (-10)
73 -3.0 77%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Hooper Eblen Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Jacksonville State
(14-15, Road 8-6)
59 56 +8.0 24% 120 56 +8.0 5%
Tennessee Tech
(20-11, Home 10-3)
62 64 -8.0 76% Actual:
121 (1)
64 -8.0 95%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Skyhawk Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Southeast Missouri
(11-17, Road 5-10)
50 65 +13.0 14% 143 60 +21.0 0%
Tennessee-Martin
(21-9, Home 12-1)
61 78 -13.0 86% Actual:
111 (-32)
81 -21.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Reed Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
LSU
(16-13, Road 5-6)
55 53 +8.0 24% 114 47 +18.5 0%
Texas A&M
(26-8, Home 14-3)
59 61 -8.0 76% Actual:
114 (0)
66 -18.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Strahan Coliseum Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Arkansas State
(12-18, Road 3-13)
54 62 +8.0 24% 132 61 +8.5 5%
Texas State
(12-17, Home 5-7)
68 70 -8.0 76% Actual:
122 (-10)
70 -8.5 95%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Trojan Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Georgia State
(17-14, Road 7-9)
85 68 +14.0 12% 150 69 +12.0 1%
Troy
(21-9, Home 11-3)
70 82 -14.0 88% Actual:
155 (5)
81 -12.0 99%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Bartow Arena Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Marshall
(16-15, Road 6-9)
59 59 +17.0 9% 135 58 +17.5 0%
UAB
(25-7, Home 11-2)
77 76 -17.0 91% Actual:
136 (1)
75 -17.5 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
The Pavilion Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
UC Riverside
(17-16, Road 7-8)
59 52 +18.0 8% 122 50 +21.0 0%
UC Davis
(24-7, Home 11-1)
72 70 -18.0 92% Actual:
131 (9)
71 -21.0 100%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
College Park Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Little Rock
(21-11, Road 9-5)
62 53 +9.0 22% 115 55 +2.5 26%
UTA
(24-8, Home 12-3)
61 62 -9.0 78% Actual:
123 (8)
58 -2.5 74%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
UCCU Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
New Mexico State
(24-7, Road 11-4)
72 70 -7.0 73% 133 78 -24.0 100%
Utah Valley
(11-16, Home 8-5)
63 63 +7.0 27% Actual:
135 (2)
54 +24.0 0%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Don Haskins Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Louisiana Tech
(13-16, Road 5-9)
74 69 -4.0 64% 134 67 -1.0 59%
UTEP
(9-22, Home 4-11)
64 65 +4.0 36% Actual:
138 (4)
66 +1.0 41%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
UTSA Convocation Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Southern Miss
(16-14, Road 5-6)
70 65 -11.0 82% 119 65 -12.0 99%
UTSA
(5-21, Home 4-10)
45 54 +11.0 18% Actual:
115 (-4)
53 +12.0 1%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Stuart C. Siegel Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Dayton
(17-14, Road 2-11)
62 53 +6.0 30% 112 52 +8.0 5%
VCU
(24-10, Home 13-1)
64 59 -6.0 70% Actual:
126 (14)
60 -8.0 95%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Kohl Center Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
Michigan State
(21-12, Road 3-9)
62 71 -4.0 64% 138 74 -10.0 97%
Wisconsin
(15-18, Home 10-6)
79 67 +4.0 36% Actual:
141 (3)
64 +10.0 3%

Final R1 Prediction ELO Prediction
Jerry Richardson Indoor Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Over/Under Score Spread Win Prob.
East Tennessee State
(10-21, Road 2-12)
74 70 +9.0 22% 149 71 +4.5 15%
Wofford
(13-15, Home 9-1)
77 79 -9.0 78% Actual:
151 (2)
76 -4.5 85%